PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
cry.eth20xbe044D601FBe89c9E87eACFa57d813A31F783C60-17679970979410b1
Record (consensus markets)23% (1426–4784, n=6210)89% (48–6, n=54)89% (222–28, n=250)
Consensus PnL$174K-$54K$88K
Tracked asHand-pickedHand-pickedwas PM monthly #826
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)100% (14 of 14 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tech +9 pts n=10, ROI +8%
Weakest topic—Geopolitics −1 pts, n=96Tennis −2 pts, n=107
Settled positions, side won25% of 18171 at avg 10¢, ROI +6%84% of 190 at avg 84¢, ROI −2%90% of 225 at avg 90¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢92% (won 18% of 16643)6% (won 8% of 12)0%
Entries 30–50¢2% (won 95% of 355)3% (won 40% of 5)1% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢6% (won 100% of 1172)9% (won 56% of 18)4% (won 25% of 8)
Entries 70¢ and up0% (won 100% of 1)82% (won 95% of 155)96% (won 93% of 215)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.