← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BigMackyG | tryingout1 | Dr.mett | LuckyWin | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 31% (119–269, n=388) | 88% (50–7, n=57) | 88% (358–51, n=409) | 88% (735–102, n=837) |
| Consensus PnL | $61K | $13K | $13K | $30K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #441 | Hand-picked | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #579 |
| Sides with the consensus | 45% (10 of 22 open) | 100% (7 of 7 open) | 92% (12 of 13 open) | 60% (3 of 5 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | Elections −3 pts, n=18 | Crypto −7 pts, n=21 | NBA −7 pts, n=48 |
| Settled positions, side won | 77% of 153 at avg 39¢, ROI +25% | 87% of 116 at avg 83¢, ROI +4% | 88% of 1202 at avg 86¢, ROI +2% | 88% of 789 at avg 88¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 36% (won 51% of 55) | 8% (won 0% of 9) | 6% (won 12% of 75) | 7% (won 8% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 90% of 40) | 2% (won 0% of 2) | 4% (won 38% of 50) | 4% (won 42% of 33) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 27% (won 90% of 41) | 7% (won 88% of 8) | 5% (won 60% of 60) | 6% (won 55% of 49) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 11% (won 100% of 17) | 84% (won 97% of 97) | 85% (won 97% of 1017) | 83% (won 99% of 654) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BigMackyG | tryingout1 | Dr.mett | LuckyWin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31? same side · consensus No | No $13K | — | No $425 | — |