PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
2415325324320x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907eR88N
Record (consensus markets)no settled market85% (220–40, n=260)88% (98–13, n=111)
Consensus PnL—$35K$213K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #994PM monthly #513was PM monthly #458
Sides with the consensus46% (11 of 24 open)38% (5 of 13 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Tech −8 pts, n=11—
Settled positions, side won—84% of 209 at avg 80¢, ROI +14%100% of 69 at avg 55¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢—16% (won 21% of 33)6% (won 100% of 4)
Entries 30–50¢—4% (won 38% of 8)36% (won 100% of 25)
Entries 50–70¢—4% (won 78% of 9)43% (won 100% of 30)
Entries 70¢ and up—76% (won 100% of 159)14% (won 100% of 10)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.