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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)100% (2–0, n=2)45% (193–240, n=433)66% (479–242, n=721)50% (2–2, n=4)
Consensus PnL$2.8K$26K-$146K-$21K
Tracked asPM monthly #501PM monthly #43PM monthly #44 + pinnedPM monthly #257
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)90% (9 of 10 open)100% (2 of 2 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 134 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%100% of 205 at avg 68¢, ROI +33%100% of 2 at avg 73¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 100% of 7)6% (won 100% of 12)0%
Entries 30–50¢—38% (won 100% of 51)13% (won 100% of 26)0%
Entries 50–70¢—50% (won 100% of 67)30% (won 100% of 62)0%
Entries 70¢ and up—7% (won 100% of 9)51% (won 100% of 105)100% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market121212121212121212121212keeptheblueflagflyinghighRN1Wiretransferxyz
Hersonissos 3: Michael Geerts vs Sumit Nagal
same side · consensus Sumit Nagal
—Sumit Nagal $8.5KSumit Nagal $3.0K—