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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026beachboy4MoneylovermanRN1
Record (consensus markets)35% (3634–6648, n=10282)no settled market62% (47–29, n=76)47% (13828–15322, n=29150)
Consensus PnL$3.0M—$249K$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #772—PM monthly #808PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus86% (6 of 7 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position60% (36 of 60 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yet
  • NBA +4 pts n=203, ROI +2%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won——55% of 203 at avg 51¢, ROI +2%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢——12% (won 21% of 24)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢——30% (won 42% of 60)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢——48% (won 64% of 97)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up——11% (won 86% of 22)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026beachboy4MoneylovermanRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.3K——Over $1.4K
Spread: Heat (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $235——Clippers $965
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.2K——Over $360
Spread: Heat (-6.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
Clippers $963——Clippers $240