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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026ISMS2222ndb1
Record (consensus markets)35% (3649–6670, n=10319)36% (25–44, n=69)63% (990–573, n=1563)
Consensus PnL$2.9M$165K$3.2M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #870PM monthly #636PM monthly #105
Sides with the consensus68% (21 of 31 open)75% (3 of 4 open)74% (82 of 111 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—NFL −15 pts, n=16NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won—44% of 55 at avg 41¢, ROI +7%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—38% (won 33% of 21)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢—24% (won 15% of 13)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢—29% (won 63% of 16)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up—9% (won 100% of 5)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026ISMS2222ndb1
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $3.6KYes $1.0M