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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ferrariChampions2026 | BreakTheBank | machbut | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 35% (3648–6671, n=10319) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 59% (22–15, n=37) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.0M | $7.9M | $30K | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #621 | PM monthly #3 | was PM monthly #879 | PM monthly #102 |
| Sides with the consensus | 81% (13 of 16 open) | 66% (19 of 29 open) | 67% (2 of 3 open) | 72% (95 of 132 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 71% of 31 at avg 71¢, ROI +2% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 10% (won 0% of 3) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 5) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 16% (won 60% of 5) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 58% (won 94% of 18) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ferrariChampions2026 | BreakTheBank | machbut | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $49K | Yes $1.0M |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $7 | — | Yes $993K |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $407K | — | No $335K |