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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xf6aacd6b951f2667f966f9428667961bc40acd84-1793346180905BreakTheBankndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)no settled market60% (12–8, n=20)no settled market62% (13–8, n=21)
Consensus PnL—$779K—-$16K
Tracked asPM monthly #634PM monthly #1PM monthly #160PM monthly #74
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (2 of 4 open)no open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
  • MLB +5 pts n=17, ROI +44%
  • NFL +51 pts n=11, ROI +48%
Weakest topic——NFL −8 pts, n=71—
Settled positions, side won—95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1%100% of 11 at avg 49¢, ROI +48%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 69% of 36)19% (won 10% of 96)9% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 97% of 116)21% (won 35% of 105)27% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢—37% (won 99% of 124)27% (won 54% of 132)64% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up—17% (won 100% of 56)33% (won 91% of 163)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.