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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market100% (2–0, n=2)no settled market67% (354–171, n=525)
Consensus PnL—$245K—-$102K
Tracked asPM monthly #888PM monthly #82PM monthly #150PM monthly #43 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position58% (61 of 106 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • MLB +5 pts n=17, ROI +44%
Weakest topic——NFL −8 pts, n=71—
Settled positions, side won—100% of 2 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1%100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢—0%19% (won 10% of 96)1% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢—50% (won 100% of 1)21% (won 35% of 105)26% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢—50% (won 100% of 1)27% (won 54% of 132)40% (won 100% of 95)
Entries 70¢ and up—0%33% (won 91% of 163)33% (won 100% of 80)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.