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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xcb8deb...368d08ndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market64% (1097–630, n=1727)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)
Consensus PnL$104$4.8M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #488PM monthly #98PM monthly #33 + pinned
Sides with the consensus33% (12 of 36 open)73% (111 of 152 open)55% (30 of 55 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicElections ±0 pts, n=26NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won1% of 73 at avg 3¢, ROI −2%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢99% (won 0% of 72)13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢0%19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢0%23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up1% (won 100% of 1)44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xcb8deb...368d08ndb1RN1
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $115Yes $84
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $699Yes $11K—
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $487Yes $525—
Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?
same side · consensus No
Yes $6Yes $22—