PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xc8AD11A2C47477f80C1e079956470e030ec683dc-1774656466039BreakTheBankCORGII00gringo00
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (502–616, n=1118)63% (379–225, n=604)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL—$11.8M$4.5M$3.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #963PM monthly #1PM monthly #95was PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position70% (23 of 33 open)0% (0 of 2 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicTennis −18 pts, n=22———
Settled positions, side won7% of 28 at avg 26¢, ROI −7%97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 385 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢57% (won 0% of 16)10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 91% of 35)0%
Entries 30–50¢43% (won 17% of 12)35% (won 98% of 181)56% (won 99% of 214)0%
Entries 50–70¢0%34% (won 99% of 176)34% (won 100% of 129)100% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up0%20% (won 100% of 105)2% (won 100% of 7)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.