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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xb7de57721ee931290e90bc0c8a9f38855130b802googleplayHomeRunHazard
Record (consensus markets)no settled market50% (5–5, n=10)54% (208–175, n=383)
Consensus PnL$0$430K$232K
Tracked asPM monthly #744PM monthly #17PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus89% (16 of 18 open)50% (1 of 2 open)74% (147 of 198 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—100% of 5 at avg 51¢, ROI +49%100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%
Entries under 30¢—0%1% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—20% (won 100% of 1)32% (won 100% of 31)
Entries 50–70¢—80% (won 100% of 4)57% (won 100% of 55)
Entries 70¢ and up—0%10% (won 100% of 10)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xb7de57721ee931290e90bc0c8a9f38855130b802googleplayHomeRunHazard
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
—Bulls $64KSpurs $7.7K
Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $22KUnder $43K