PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xb14AC3a7E4b56C26afD5cd065C500fA0A2Be4254-1769811390492beachboy400gringo00BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)93% (71–5, n=76)69% (43–19, n=62)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (502–616, n=1118)
Consensus PnL$14K$5.8M$3.5M$11.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #975was PM monthly #24was PM monthly #19PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus position69% (27 of 39 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
none with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=91——
Settled positions, side won97% of 72 at avg 70¢, ROI +30%57% of 211 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 100% of 1)3% (won 17% of 6)0%10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 71% of 7)29% (won 56% of 62)0%35% (won 98% of 181)
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 100% of 24)54% (won 52% of 114)100% (won 86% of 7)34% (won 99% of 176)
Entries 70¢ and up56% (won 100% of 40)14% (won 86% of 29)0%20% (won 100% of 105)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.