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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market43% (3–4, n=7)42% (13–18, n=31)50% (2–2, n=4)
Consensus PnL—$353K$208K-$21K
Tracked asPM monthly #956PM monthly #17PM monthly #28PM monthly #330
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position100% (3 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +32 pts n=50, ROI +31%
  • Tennis +40 pts n=29, ROI +35%
  • Soccer +47 pts n=11, ROI +39%
  • NBA +13 pts n=15, ROI +22%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—83% of 54 at avg 53¢, ROI +30%82% of 55 at avg 47¢, ROI +32%59% of 495 at avg 53¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢—0%2% (won 100% of 1)6% (won 17% of 29)
Entries 30–50¢—19% (won 70% of 10)65% (won 78% of 36)35% (won 46% of 171)
Entries 50–70¢—76% (won 85% of 41)29% (won 94% of 16)47% (won 66% of 233)
Entries 70¢ and up—6% (won 100% of 3)4% (won 50% of 2)13% (won 89% of 62)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.