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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592 | Forecastication2 | googleplay | HomeRunHazard | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 60% (60–40, n=100) | 47% (68–76, n=144) | 50% (5–5, n=10) | 53% (270–236, n=506) |
| Consensus PnL | $171K | -$28K | $430K | $279K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #60 | was PM monthly #893 | PM monthly #17 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 17% (1 of 6 open) | no open consensus position | 75% (40 of 53 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet | none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 59 at avg 61¢, ROI +41% | — | 100% of 5 at avg 51¢, ROI +49% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 100% of 2) | — | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 100% of 6) | — | 20% (won 100% of 1) | 32% (won 100% of 31) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 63% (won 100% of 37) | — | 80% (won 100% of 4) | 57% (won 100% of 55) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 100% of 14) | — | 0% | 10% (won 100% of 10) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592 | Forecastication2 | googleplay | HomeRunHazard |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Pistons (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Wizards | — | Pistons $6.1K | — | Wizards $1.5K |
| Pistons vs. Wizards opposite sides · consensus Pistons | — | Wizards $1 | — | Pistons $1.2K |