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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592 | BreakTheBank | ferdinand2 | robustmst | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 60% (60–40, n=100) | 54% (25–21, n=46) | 73% (222–81, n=303) | 42% (13–18, n=31) |
| Consensus PnL | $171K | $737K | $2.4K | $208K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #60 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #491 | PM monthly #28 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 63% (5 of 8 open) | 57% (81 of 143 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −1 pts, n=90 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 59 at avg 61¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47% | 39% of 175 at avg 39¢, ROI −1% | 100% of 13 at avg 45¢, ROI +50% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 100% of 2) | 0% | 49% (won 7% of 85) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 100% of 6) | 57% (won 100% of 13) | 15% (won 37% of 27) | 85% (won 100% of 11) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 63% (won 100% of 37) | 39% (won 100% of 9) | 15% (won 70% of 27) | 15% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 100% of 14) | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 21% (won 92% of 36) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592 | BreakTheBank | ferdinand2 | robustmst |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Trail Blazers $689 | Thunder $114 | — |