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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592BreakTheBankember6128juice-fruit
Record (consensus markets)66% (52–27, n=79)56% (20–16, n=36)61% (11–7, n=18)100% (1–0, n=1)
Consensus PnL$196K$822K$28K$152K
Tracked asPM monthly #59PM monthly #1PM monthly #897PM monthly #31
Sides with the consensus75% (3 of 4 open)33% (2 of 6 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +51 pts n=14, ROI +48%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 49 at avg 63¢, ROI +40%100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47%100% of 11 at avg 61¢, ROI +40%100% of 48 at avg 59¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 100% of 2)0%18% (won 100% of 2)2% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 100% of 5)57% (won 100% of 13)18% (won 100% of 2)25% (won 100% of 12)
Entries 50–70¢57% (won 100% of 28)39% (won 100% of 9)18% (won 100% of 2)44% (won 100% of 21)
Entries 70¢ and up29% (won 100% of 14)4% (won 100% of 1)45% (won 100% of 5)29% (won 100% of 14)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.