PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x9d8e0e3ce4c0a7a13b9b2926b7a5c4d2ea5b3ab8BreakTheBanksainttroplayomnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (502–616, n=1118)71% (10–4, n=14)50% (13367–13520, n=26887)
Consensus PnL$0$11.8M$4.4M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #958PM monthly #1was PM monthly #11PM monthly #17
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)70% (23 of 33 open)no open consensus position72% (18 of 25 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%91% of 10208 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 85% of 53)0%8% (won 58% of 840)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 181)50% (won 100% of 5)21% (won 86% of 2168)
Entries 50–70¢—34% (won 99% of 176)50% (won 100% of 5)38% (won 94% of 3916)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 105)0%32% (won 99% of 3284)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x9d8e0e3ce4c0a7a13b9b2926b7a5c4d2ea5b3ab8BreakTheBanksainttroplayomnibus-076daa
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $252K—Yes $318