PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x8f94386fbb81185463ce5d381492aa27bab49a1e-17926965928470x081cd40e9d1a90896612c189bf470b4fbae4f01088M
Record (consensus markets)no settled market64% (61–35, n=96)49% (645–662, n=1307)
Consensus PnL—$171K$526K
Tracked asPM monthly #491PM monthly #898was PM monthly #629
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Elections −38 pts, n=12Mentions −14 pts, n=12
Settled positions, side won—82% of 82 at avg 53¢, ROI +16%55% of 1257 at avg 42¢, ROI +13%
Entries under 30¢—7% (won 33% of 6)27% (won 18% of 337)
Entries 30–50¢—26% (won 62% of 21)36% (won 58% of 455)
Entries 50–70¢—61% (won 96% of 50)30% (won 75% of 371)
Entries 70¢ and up—6% (won 80% of 5)7% (won 87% of 94)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.