PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market48% (77–85, n=162)88% (323–43, n=366)81% (1223–295, n=1518)
Consensus PnL—$60K$87$127K
Tracked asPM monthly #499PM monthly #408was PM monthly #986was PM monthly #799
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)82% (9 of 11 open)33% (1 of 3 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Soccer +18 pts n=1284, ROI +10%
  • F1 +20 pts n=26, ROI +13%
  • NFL +13 pts n=36, ROI +3%
Weakest topic—NHL −7 pts, n=103—NBA −2 pts, n=70
Settled positions, side won—49% of 197 at avg 47¢, ROI +7%97% of 108 at avg 80¢, ROI −4%87% of 1457 at avg 70¢, ROI +10%
Entries under 30¢—18% (won 11% of 36)6% (won 50% of 6)11% (won 45% of 155)
Entries 30–50¢—39% (won 46% of 76)6% (won 100% of 6)11% (won 72% of 159)
Entries 50–70¢—32% (won 60% of 63)14% (won 100% of 15)16% (won 89% of 232)
Entries 70¢ and up—11% (won 86% of 22)75% (won 100% of 81)63% (won 97% of 911)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.