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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x8e83fae02e603cc2860638315f1c161fde5ab22fFlaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)55% (106–86, n=192)55% (13369–10733, n=24102)63% (1101–635, n=1736)
Consensus PnL$25K$1.4M$4.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #849PM monthly #14PM monthly #109
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position69% (98 of 143 open)70% (68 of 97 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicTennis −14 pts, n=25NFL −24 pts, n=12NFL −7 pts, n=158
Settled positions, side won35% of 57 at avg 46¢, ROI −4%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢26% (won 13% of 15)30% (won 9% of 919)13% (won 14% of 196)
Entries 30–50¢14% (won 38% of 8)15% (won 37% of 455)18% (won 40% of 283)
Entries 50–70¢53% (won 37% of 30)14% (won 63% of 439)23% (won 58% of 348)
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 100% of 4)42% (won 94% of 1302)46% (won 94% of 710)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.