PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x8Bb006d1bB8b1C5735DA79E81637e3dad6E3ca79-17686018413600x50f7qiu3
Record (consensus markets)no settled market81% (31563–7342, n=38905)89% (8–1, n=9)
Consensus PnL—$562K$32K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #998PM monthly #319was PM monthly #573
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +7 pts n=28117, ROI +2%
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −5 pts, n=17——
Settled positions, side won64% of 185 at avg 45¢, ROI +14%89% of 28117 at avg 81¢, ROI +2%98% of 43 at avg 57¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢22% (won 23% of 40)14% (won 18% of 3904)5% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 65% of 48)3% (won 100% of 787)26% (won 91% of 11)
Entries 50–70¢48% (won 81% of 88)6% (won 100% of 1765)56% (won 100% of 24)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 78% of 9)77% (won 100% of 21661)14% (won 100% of 6)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.