PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x8Bb006d1bB8b1C5735DA79E81637e3dad6E3ca79-1768601841360BENFICAA0x9e8eddeb4a1261ba9c7530a0386202cb6c12d006LuckyWin
Record (consensus markets)no settled market78% (14–4, n=18)63% (39–23, n=62)88% (693–98, n=791)
Consensus PnL—$36K-$1.0K$29K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #998Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #997was PM monthly #579
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position80% (4 of 5 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −5 pts, n=17Crypto −11 pts, n=10Tennis −2 pts, n=77NBA −7 pts, n=48
Settled positions, side won64% of 185 at avg 45¢, ROI +14%87% of 52 at avg 83¢, ROI +6%96% of 77 at avg 98¢, ROI 0%88% of 738 at avg 88¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢22% (won 23% of 40)6% (won 0% of 3)1% (won 0% of 1)7% (won 8% of 48)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 65% of 48)4% (won 0% of 2)0%4% (won 44% of 32)
Entries 50–70¢48% (won 81% of 88)8% (won 100% of 4)0%7% (won 56% of 48)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 78% of 9)83% (won 95% of 43)99% (won 97% of 76)83% (won 99% of 610)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.