PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x8Bb006d1bB8b1C5735DA79E81637e3dad6E3ca79-1768601841360Momo63RRRRRRRRLjesterthegoose
Record (consensus markets)no settled market94% (829–50, n=879)50% (2–2, n=4)80% (284–70, n=354)
Consensus PnL—$138K$161K$207K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #998PM monthly #324was PM monthly #324was PM monthly #562 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position75% (6 of 8 open)no open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −5 pts, n=17F1 −1 pts, n=26—Elections −5 pts, n=12
Settled positions, side won64% of 185 at avg 45¢, ROI +14%96% of 851 at avg 95¢, ROI +2%100% of 2 at avg 48¢, ROI +52%80% of 579 at avg 79¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢22% (won 23% of 40)0% (won 0% of 3)0%14% (won 8% of 83)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 65% of 48)0% (won 50% of 2)100% (won 100% of 2)5% (won 39% of 28)
Entries 50–70¢48% (won 81% of 88)0% (won 67% of 3)0%5% (won 65% of 31)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 78% of 9)99% (won 97% of 843)0%75% (won 97% of 437)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.