PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293RayayaTrippleEXdarkumbreon88
Record (consensus markets)no settled market61% (1111–720, n=1831)60% (301–199, n=500)66% (1624–844, n=2468)
Consensus PnL—-$48K-$213K-$6.7K
Tracked asPM monthly #749PM monthly #772was PM monthly #883was PM monthly #833
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (3 of 6 open)0% (0 of 2 open)67% (8 of 12 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • MLB +43 pts n=44, ROI +45%
  • NFL +36 pts n=79, ROI +28%
  • Tennis +33 pts n=199, ROI +31%
Weakest topic—Esports −1 pts, n=1735Esports −4 pts, n=421—
Settled positions, side won—61% of 1740 at avg 62¢, ROI −1%62% of 486 at avg 64¢, ROI −3%100% of 1444 at avg 69¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢—3% (won 12% of 58)3% (won 23% of 13)1% (won 100% of 16)
Entries 30–50¢—13% (won 37% of 231)14% (won 36% of 67)9% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 50–70¢—53% (won 61% of 927)49% (won 56% of 237)38% (won 100% of 552)
Entries 70¢ and up—30% (won 76% of 524)35% (won 83% of 169)51% (won 100% of 743)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293RayayaTrippleEXdarkumbreon88
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
same side · consensus DENDELE CS
—Nemiga $2.3KNemiga $5.8K—
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
same side · consensus Legacy
—TheMongolz $1.3KTheMongolz $4.3K—