PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x82F992AA9b803e79fDdb778FD512b6B9399f3950-1760523264221TAIWANNUMBERONEAmit111110x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162
Record (consensus markets)no settled market56% (1053–841, n=1894)66% (76–40, n=116)95% (1081–60, n=1141)
Consensus PnL—$632K$34K$42K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #818was PM monthly #573was PM monthly #994Hand-picked
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (3 of 6 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Crypto +21 pts n=222, ROI +11%
Weakest topic———Science −5 pts, n=11
Settled positions, side won—99% of 981 at avg 59¢, ROI +38%81% of 237 at avg 61¢, ROI +11%98% of 1366 at avg 95¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 98% of 48)6% (won 53% of 15)1% (won 29% of 17)
Entries 30–50¢—24% (won 99% of 232)15% (won 60% of 35)1% (won 69% of 13)
Entries 50–70¢—47% (won 100% of 464)46% (won 80% of 108)2% (won 80% of 30)
Entries 70¢ and up—24% (won 100% of 237)33% (won 96% of 79)96% (won 99% of 1306)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.