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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x7d3b7ff761d046f5dc1d972e8a755dc1eccf55b8Flaznorpjoseph00677ndb1
Record (consensus markets)75% (100–33, n=133)55% (13333–10716, n=24049)43% (10–13, n=23)63% (1100–635, n=1735)
Consensus PnL$23K$1.4M$3.2M$4.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #859PM monthly #14PM monthly #7PM monthly #110
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position64% (104 of 162 open)no open consensus position71% (67 of 95 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −24 pts, n=12—NFL −7 pts, n=158
Settled positions, side won76% of 123 at avg 73¢, ROI +10%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢0%30% (won 9% of 919)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 14% of 196)
Entries 30–50¢2% (won 50% of 2)15% (won 37% of 455)6% (won 0% of 1)18% (won 40% of 283)
Entries 50–70¢42% (won 58% of 52)14% (won 63% of 439)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 58% of 348)
Entries 70¢ and up56% (won 91% of 69)42% (won 94% of 1302)18% (won 67% of 3)46% (won 94% of 710)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.