PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x63C4dCbb199c5eCA30c8a002fF238aAd5DCE4671-1779125900020BreakTheBank00gringo00omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)51% (37–36, n=73)45% (502–616, n=1118)75% (6–2, n=8)50% (13367–13520, n=26887)
Consensus PnL$5.8K$11.8M$3.5M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #592PM monthly #1was PM monthly #19PM monthly #17
Sides with the consensus14% (1 of 7 open)70% (23 of 33 open)no open consensus position72% (18 of 25 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won38% of 8 at avg 34¢, ROI +42%97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%91% of 10208 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢38% (won 0% of 3)10% (won 85% of 53)0%8% (won 58% of 840)
Entries 30–50¢38% (won 67% of 3)35% (won 98% of 181)0%21% (won 86% of 2168)
Entries 50–70¢13% (won 100% of 1)34% (won 99% of 176)100% (won 86% of 7)38% (won 94% of 3916)
Entries 70¢ and up13% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 100% of 105)0%32% (won 99% of 3284)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x63C4dCbb199c5eCA30c8a002fF238aAd5DCE4671-1779125900020BreakTheBank00gringo00omnibus-076daa
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $252K—Yes $318