Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241FlaznorpgoogleplayWagerWizard
Record (consensus markets)no settled market75% (744–249, n=993)50% (5–5, n=10)82% (14–3, n=17)
Consensus PnL—$74K$430K-$284
Tracked as—PM monthly #14PM monthly #17was PM monthly #1000
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position71% (101 of 142 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—52% of 211 at avg 50¢, ROI +3%100% of 5 at avg 51¢, ROI +49%100% of 14 at avg 77¢, ROI +33%
Entries under 30¢—31% (won 9% of 66)0%7% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—27% (won 45% of 56)20% (won 100% of 1)21% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢—13% (won 68% of 28)80% (won 100% of 4)0%
Entries 70¢ and up—29% (won 97% of 61)0%71% (won 100% of 10)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.