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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-17776485342410x8dszc153187wmy123456789primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled marketno settled market50% (1105–1116, n=2221)47% (14161–15670, n=29831)
Consensus PnL——$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked as——PM monthly #48PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position56% (10 of 18 open)55% (44 of 80 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won——99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢——5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢——41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢——50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up——5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-17776485342410x8dszc153187wmy123456789primmRN1
Spread: Jaguars (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Ravens $9.7KJaguars $6.1K
Spread: UTSA (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
——Florida Atlantic $2.4KUTSA $302
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $1.8KOver $253
Spread: James Madison (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus James Madison
——James Madison $1.6KSouthern Miss $408
Spread: James Madison (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss
——James Madison $1.4KSouthern Miss $268
Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Ravens $560Jaguars $174
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
——Florida Atlantic $41KFlorida Atlantic $20K
Spread: Jaguars (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
——Ravens $230Ravens $1.8K
Spread: Jaguars (-13.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
——Ravens $1.1KRavens $654
James Madison vs. Southern Miss
same side · consensus James Madison
——Southern Miss $32Southern Miss $365