PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x51A47545d367d39ef11f9b2aB70a458c2B4fAB73-1770660706727sainttroplay00gringo00omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)no settled market71% (10–4, n=14)75% (6–2, n=8)50% (13370–13521, n=26891)
Consensus PnL—$4.4M$3.5M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #915was PM monthly #11was PM monthly #19PM monthly #17
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 3 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position52% (13 of 25 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won67% of 3 at avg 21¢, ROI +44%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%91% of 10208 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢67% (won 50% of 2)0%0%8% (won 58% of 840)
Entries 30–50¢33% (won 100% of 1)50% (won 100% of 5)0%21% (won 86% of 2168)
Entries 50–70¢0%50% (won 100% of 5)100% (won 86% of 7)38% (won 94% of 3916)
Entries 70¢ and up0%0%0%32% (won 99% of 3284)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.