Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x4e25605fd905e9972efc0f4d8814530c655cd7a7joseph00677ndb1
Record (consensus markets)58% (1040–738, n=1778)43% (10–13, n=23)63% (1095–631, n=1726)
Consensus PnL$287K$3.3M$4.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #843PM monthly #3PM monthly #98
Sides with the consensus80% (176 of 220 open)no open consensus position71% (70 of 98 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicOther Sports −8 pts, n=41—NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won59% of 1502 at avg 58¢, ROI −1%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢33% (won 5% of 502)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢7% (won 38% of 99)6% (won 0% of 1)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢9% (won 65% of 130)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up51% (won 96% of 771)18% (won 67% of 3)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x4e25605fd905e9972efc0f4d8814530c655cd7a7joseph00677ndb1
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.2K—No $24K
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.2K—Yes $1.7K