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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188googleplayrobustmstSynthesizerchan
Record (consensus markets)50% (2–2, n=4)43% (3–4, n=7)42% (13–18, n=31)no settled market
Consensus PnL$344K$353K$208K-$93
Tracked asPM monthly #66PM monthly #18PM monthly #29PM monthly #949
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)0% (0 of 2 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +32 pts n=50, ROI +31%
  • Tennis +40 pts n=29, ROI +35%
  • Soccer +47 pts n=11, ROI +39%
  • NBA +13 pts n=15, ROI +22%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 1 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%83% of 54 at avg 53¢, ROI +30%82% of 55 at avg 47¢, ROI +32%—
Entries under 30¢0%0%2% (won 100% of 1)—
Entries 30–50¢0%19% (won 70% of 10)65% (won 78% of 36)—
Entries 50–70¢100% (won 100% of 1)76% (won 85% of 41)29% (won 94% of 16)—
Entries 70¢ and up0%6% (won 100% of 3)4% (won 50% of 2)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188googleplayrobustmstSynthesizerchan
Spread: Magic (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Magic $89KKings $59K——