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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | fantasy7788 | MaoZeDonK | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (10–8, n=18) | 55% (12–10, n=22) | 59% (17–12, n=29) | 54% (312–261, n=573) |
| Consensus PnL | $792K | $576K | $35K | $425K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #25 | PM monthly #34 | PM monthly #798 | PM monthly #135 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 80% (4 of 5 open) | 53% (60 of 114 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 10 at avg 50¢, ROI +50% | 100% of 11 at avg 48¢, ROI +54% | 100% of 14 at avg 54¢, ROI +54% | 65% of 504 at avg 53¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 9% (won 100% of 1) | 0% | 14% (won 32% of 72) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 40% (won 100% of 4) | 45% (won 100% of 5) | 21% (won 100% of 3) | 24% (won 55% of 121) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 60% (won 100% of 6) | 36% (won 100% of 4) | 71% (won 100% of 10) | 44% (won 69% of 222) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 9% (won 100% of 1) | 7% (won 100% of 1) | 18% (won 98% of 89) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | fantasy7788 | MaoZeDonK | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $10K | No $4.7K |