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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | HomeRunHazard | MD14 | MegaMan-.- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 60% (12–8, n=20) | 53% (471–414, n=885) | 85% (22–4, n=26) | 54% (19–16, n=35) |
| Consensus PnL | $856K | $358K | $367K | $2.4K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #142 | PM monthly #137 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 62% (146 of 234 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 100% (3 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 12 at avg 50¢, ROI +50% | 100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 92% of 24 at avg 71¢, ROI +22% | 100% of 23 at avg 56¢, ROI +44% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 4% (won 0% of 1) | 4% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 42% (won 100% of 5) | 31% (won 100% of 70) | 13% (won 100% of 3) | 26% (won 100% of 6) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 58% (won 100% of 7) | 60% (won 100% of 135) | 21% (won 80% of 5) | 57% (won 100% of 13) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 7% (won 100% of 16) | 63% (won 100% of 15) | 13% (won 100% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | HomeRunHazard | MD14 | MegaMan-.- |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner opposite sides · consensus Gen.G | — | — | Bilibili Gaming $25 | Gen.G $45K |