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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | AndreasSchm | MD14 | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 60% (12–8, n=20) | 100% (4–0, n=4) | 81% (22–5, n=27) | 54% (441–371, n=812) |
| Consensus PnL | $856K | $5.8K | $328K | $325K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #23 | PM monthly #724 | PM monthly #118 | PM monthly #148 |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 0% (0 of 14 open) | no open consensus position | 56% (104 of 186 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 12 at avg 50¢, ROI +50% | — | 92% of 24 at avg 71¢, ROI +22% | 71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | — | 4% (won 0% of 1) | 13% (won 40% of 81) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 42% (won 100% of 5) | — | 13% (won 100% of 3) | 24% (won 62% of 144) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 58% (won 100% of 7) | — | 21% (won 80% of 5) | 43% (won 74% of 261) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | — | 63% (won 100% of 15) | 20% (won 98% of 119) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | AndreasSchm | MD14 | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $410 | — | No $4.5K |
| Avalanche vs. Canadiens same side · consensus Canadiens | Avalanche $171K | — | — | Avalanche $6.8K |