PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x4278F7E5CB5f2d68d204d7403270c79CB07e0E92-1762724768941BreakTheBankCORGIIbeachboy4
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (501–606, n=1107)63% (372–218, n=590)69% (43–19, n=62)
Consensus PnL—$9.6M$4.4M$5.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #970PM monthly #1PM monthly #162was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position73% (24 of 33 open)50% (1 of 2 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +50 pts n=112, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=63, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=275, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic———NBA −4 pts, n=96
Settled positions, side won—98% of 494 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 378 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%57% of 216 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 87% of 52)9% (won 91% of 35)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢—34% (won 98% of 169)55% (won 99% of 209)29% (won 57% of 63)
Entries 50–70¢—34% (won 99% of 170)34% (won 100% of 127)55% (won 53% of 118)
Entries 70¢ and up—21% (won 100% of 103)2% (won 100% of 7)13% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.