PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x4278F7E5CB5f2d68d204d7403270c79CB07e0E92-176272476894100gringo00RN1omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)no settled market75% (6–2, n=8)48% (11687–12455, n=24142)50% (13178–13326, n=26504)
Consensus PnL—$3.5M$13.4M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #970was PM monthly #19Hand-pickedPM monthly #15
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus position64% (9 of 14 open)63% (5 of 8 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 23702 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%91% of 10018 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—0%10% (won 56% of 2452)8% (won 58% of 836)
Entries 30–50¢—0%22% (won 94% of 5319)21% (won 85% of 2128)
Entries 50–70¢—100% (won 86% of 7)36% (won 99% of 8623)38% (won 94% of 3835)
Entries 70¢ and up—0%31% (won 100% of 7308)32% (won 99% of 3219)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.