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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x3f56eeae91471737f45fe04a7ac253be9fc55860-1794026268735Flaznorpgmpm2keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)no settled market75% (741–246, n=987)50% (2–2, n=4)45% (196–244, n=440)
Consensus PnL—$70K-$6.1K$6.7K
Tracked asPM monthly #784PM monthly #14PM monthly #73PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position65% (78 of 120 open)no open consensus position71% (10 of 14 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Soccer −8 pts, n=40——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%56% of 9 at avg 54¢, ROI −10%100% of 134 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢—34% (won 10% of 30)0%5% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 30–50¢—19% (won 29% of 17)33% (won 67% of 3)38% (won 100% of 51)
Entries 50–70¢—13% (won 55% of 11)56% (won 40% of 5)50% (won 100% of 67)
Entries 70¢ and up—34% (won 83% of 30)11% (won 100% of 1)7% (won 100% of 9)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x3f56eeae91471737f45fe04a7ac253be9fc55860-1794026268735Flaznorpgmpm2keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Spread: Lakers (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Bucks $641—Lakers $9.5K
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Bucks $367—Lakers $3.3K
WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova
opposite sides · consensus Elina Svitolina
—Karolina Muchova $2.3K—Elina Svitolina $447