PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x387f3602454Bb7dC5FB3938aEfb2D12F70232095-1777148824538BreakTheBankCORGIIomnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)96% (46–2, n=48)45% (501–606, n=1107)63% (372–218, n=590)50% (13183–13335, n=26518)
Consensus PnL$90K$9.6M$4.4M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #347PM monthly #1PM monthly #162PM monthly #15
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position73% (24 of 33 open)50% (1 of 2 open)20% (1 of 5 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +50 pts n=112, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=63, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=275, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—98% of 494 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 378 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%91% of 10018 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 87% of 52)9% (won 91% of 35)8% (won 58% of 836)
Entries 30–50¢—34% (won 98% of 169)55% (won 99% of 209)21% (won 85% of 2128)
Entries 50–70¢—34% (won 99% of 170)34% (won 100% of 127)38% (won 94% of 3835)
Entries 70¢ and up—21% (won 100% of 103)2% (won 100% of 7)32% (won 99% of 3219)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.