Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2dda38...f23b34fantasy7788keeptheblueflagflyinghighMD14
Record (consensus markets)no settled market53% (16–14, n=30)48% (513–552, n=1065)85% (22–4, n=26)
Consensus PnL$0$586K$546K$318K
Tracked asPM monthly #979PM monthly #36PM monthly #18PM monthly #120
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position65% (98 of 150 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +20 pts n=17, ROI +16%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 17 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%100% of 341 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%91% of 23 at avg 70¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢—6% (won 100% of 1)6% (won 100% of 19)4% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—53% (won 100% of 9)37% (won 100% of 126)13% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 6)50% (won 100% of 171)22% (won 80% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up—6% (won 100% of 1)7% (won 100% of 25)61% (won 100% of 14)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.