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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | gmpm2 | HAN88888 | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (62–70, n=132) | 50% (2–2, n=4) | no settled market | 45% (196–244, n=440) |
| Consensus PnL | -$493K | -$6.1K | — | $6.7K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #73 | PM monthly #500 | PM monthly #46 |
| Sides with the consensus | 29% (2 of 7 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 77% (10 of 13 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35% | 56% of 9 at avg 54¢, ROI −10% | 100% of 10 at avg 88¢, ROI +9% | 100% of 134 at avg 51¢, ROI +47% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 0% of 1) | 0% | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 7) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 94% of 17) | 33% (won 67% of 3) | 0% | 38% (won 100% of 51) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 49% (won 100% of 33) | 56% (won 40% of 5) | 0% | 50% (won 100% of 67) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 100% of 16) | 11% (won 100% of 1) | 100% (won 100% of 10) | 7% (won 100% of 9) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | gmpm2 | HAN88888 | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monastir: Kilian Feldbausch vs Tiago Pereira opposite sides · consensus Tiago Pereira | Kilian Feldbausch $78K | — | — | Tiago Pereira $5.1K |