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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4Hawk.live
Record (consensus markets)57% (4473–3351, n=7824)no settled marketno settled market
Consensus PnL$8.9M——
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344—was PM monthly #797
Sides with the consensus57% (8 of 14 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
not computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—Esports ±0 pts, n=512
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%—56% of 518 at avg 56¢, ROI −3%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)—23% (won 4% of 120)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)—15% (won 28% of 79)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)—25% (won 68% of 127)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)—37% (won 92% of 192)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.