← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | auros2 | HomeRunHazard | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (100–79, n=179) | 52% (12–11, n=23) | 53% (295–258, n=553) | 41% (29–42, n=71) |
| Consensus PnL | -$270K | $591 | $304K | -$53K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #271 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #108 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (5 of 10 open) | 60% (98 of 164 open) | 75% (48 of 64 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 78 at avg 61¢, ROI +37% | 100% of 11 at avg 62¢, ROI +10% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 20 at avg 51¢, ROI +48% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 50% of 2) | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 5% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 95% of 20) | 36% (won 100% of 4) | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 35% (won 100% of 7) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 45% (won 100% of 35) | 36% (won 100% of 4) | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 55% (won 100% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 100% of 21) | 27% (won 100% of 3) | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 5% (won 100% of 1) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | auros2 | HomeRunHazard | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Packers | Vikings $95 | — | Vikings $6.2K | — |