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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-17599357954650x91c6d572e85be51494ce8b8a030e4e587b196bf7
Record (consensus markets)58% (4539–3322, n=7861)no settled market
Consensus PnL$7.8M—
Tracked asPM monthly #19was PM monthly #852
Sides with the consensus61% (11 of 18 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%0% of 1 at avg 1¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)100% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1743)0%
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2080)0%
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2114)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.