Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2A97E8680FbED0fFCB4661cAc73B066dd3e12FFB-1771833636314ndb1
Record (consensus markets)52% (212–198, n=410)63% (1101–635, n=1736)
Consensus PnL$23K$4.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #1000PM monthly #110
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)71% (67 of 95 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −7 pts, n=158
Settled positions, side won91% of 218 at avg 60¢, ROI +38%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 75% of 8)13% (won 14% of 196)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 89% of 53)18% (won 40% of 283)
Entries 50–70¢41% (won 91% of 90)23% (won 58% of 348)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 96% of 67)46% (won 94% of 710)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.