PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
scootergeneNiNo999humbleboy
Record (consensus markets)57% (340–259, n=599)89% (445–56, n=501)67% (385–193, n=578)
Consensus PnL$76K$9.5M$172K
Tracked asPM monthly #76was PM monthly #985PM monthly #240
Sides with the consensus100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus position63% (5 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +42 pts n=167, ROI +43%
  • Tennis +39 pts n=201, ROI +40%
  • NBA +51 pts n=16, ROI +50%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won84% of 390 at avg 55¢, ROI +10%90% of 502 at avg 50¢, ROI +42%69% of 615 at avg 51¢, ROI +21%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 39% of 18)7% (won 81% of 37)5% (won 47% of 30)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 77% of 135)39% (won 85% of 197)42% (won 60% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢44% (won 88% of 171)49% (won 94% of 244)45% (won 75% of 279)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 98% of 66)5% (won 96% of 24)8% (won 92% of 50)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.