PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (1213–1271, n=2484)57% (3351–2542, n=5893)82% (202–43, n=245)
Consensus PnL—$60K$195K$31K
Tracked asPM monthly #674Hand-pickedPM monthly #112was PM monthly #997
Sides with the consensus56% (22 of 39 open)25% (3 of 12 open)67% (4 of 6 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Politics −6 pts, n=74—NHL −7 pts, n=12
Settled positions, side won—55% of 1049 at avg 50¢, ROI +8%100% of 3066 at avg 48¢, ROI +48%50% of 142 at avg 39¢, ROI +9%
Entries under 30¢—24% (won 19% of 254)7% (won 100% of 226)35% (won 29% of 49)
Entries 30–50¢—23% (won 40% of 241)55% (won 100% of 1675)37% (won 48% of 52)
Entries 50–70¢—29% (won 70% of 304)32% (won 100% of 967)20% (won 72% of 29)
Entries 70¢ and up—24% (won 89% of 250)6% (won 99% of 198)8% (won 92% of 12)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.