PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x17bec72f65b07cacd12000a0ba0ba162b6b7c52b32555TheReturnOfDarthMaulcruzzzz
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (77–79, n=156)66% (284–146, n=430)68% (212–99, n=311)
Consensus PnL—$13K$1.8M$81K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #994was PM monthly #567PM monthly #77was PM monthly #409
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position79% (48 of 61 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Esports +33 pts n=43, ROI +33%
  • MLB +32 pts n=25, ROI +34%
  • Soccer +21 pts n=18, ROI +29%
Weakest topic——Crypto −4 pts, n=84Politics −4 pts, n=16
Settled positions, side won—83% of 89 at avg 52¢, ROI +33%62% of 416 at avg 61¢, ROI +9%61% of 279 at avg 58¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢—9% (won 88% of 8)29% (won 9% of 119)38% (won 5% of 107)
Entries 30–50¢—48% (won 77% of 43)11% (won 49% of 47)4% (won 50% of 12)
Entries 50–70¢—24% (won 90% of 21)10% (won 83% of 41)2% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up—19% (won 88% of 17)50% (won 90% of 209)56% (won 99% of 155)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.