PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x1111111111NiNo999humbleboy0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188
Record (consensus markets)97% (1131–33, n=1164)89% (446–56, n=502)67% (385–193, n=578)46% (119–138, n=257)
Consensus PnL$41K$9.5M$172K$18.7M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #993was PM monthly #985PM monthly #239was PM monthly #715
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position44% (4 of 9 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +36 pts n=452, ROI +38%
  • Soccer +36 pts n=199, ROI +35%
  • MLB +35 pts n=167, ROI +37%
  • Soccer +42 pts n=167, ROI +43%
  • Tennis +39 pts n=201, ROI +40%
  • NBA +51 pts n=16, ROI +50%
  • NHL +5 pts n=186, ROI +6%
Weakest topic———College Basketball −8 pts, n=259
Settled positions, side won100% of 896 at avg 64¢, ROI +37%90% of 502 at avg 50¢, ROI +42%69% of 615 at avg 51¢, ROI +21%50% of 1403 at avg 50¢, ROI −1%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 100% of 43)7% (won 81% of 37)5% (won 47% of 30)0% (won 0% of 5)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 100% of 175)39% (won 85% of 197)42% (won 60% of 256)41% (won 48% of 575)
Entries 50–70¢32% (won 100% of 290)49% (won 94% of 244)45% (won 75% of 279)58% (won 51% of 819)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 100% of 388)5% (won 96% of 24)8% (won 92% of 50)0% (won 100% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.